Tennis · US Open Women · 26/08, 21:30
Prediction: Kristina Liutova vs Lola Radivojevic
Team pages: Kristina Liutova · Lola Radivojevic
Prediction summary
Winner
Kristina Liutova
Lola Radivojevic
Estimated games
21.8Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kristina Liutova
6-4 (W-L)
Lola Radivojevic
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kristina Liutova 1611 · Lola Radivojevic 1482
| Kristina Liutova | Lola Radivojevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kristina Liutova (rating 1611 vs 1482).
- Kristina Liutova is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Lola Radivojevic makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Kristina Liutova | Lola Radivojevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.7 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-9.3 | 11.7-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 56.9% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 52% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 48% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kristina Liutova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Tatiana Prozorova US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 02/08 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Caty McNally WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Maya Joint WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 27/07 | Maria Kozyreva WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 04/07 | Lucrezia Stefanini W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Sofia Johnson W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Malaika Rapolu W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/06 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Lola Radivojevic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Margaux Rouvroy WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Jennifer Ruggeri WTA Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 20/07 | Sofya Lansere WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Deborah Chiesa WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Yufei Ren WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Mona Barthel WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Marina Bassols Ribera Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 17/06 | Francesca Curmi W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kristina Liutova vs Lola Radivojevic?
Our model gives 67% to Kristina Liutova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.