Tennis · US Open Women · 27/08, 17:00
Prediction: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova
Team pages: Moyuka Uchijima · Lucie Havlickova
Prediction summary
Winner
Moyuka Uchijima
Lucie Havlickova
Estimated games
21.2Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Moyuka Uchijima
4-6 (W-L)
Lucie Havlickova
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Moyuka Uchijima 1514 · Lucie Havlickova 1516
| Moyuka Uchijima | Lucie Havlickova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Moyuka Uchijima makes many double faults (4.8/match).
- Note: Lucie Havlickova makes many double faults (6.9/match).
Statistics
| Moyuka Uchijima | Lucie Havlickova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-10.6 | 11.3-10.7 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 6.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 47.2% | 48% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 48% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 52% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moyuka Uchijima
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Polona Hercog US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/08 | Harriet Dart WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Himeno Sakatsume WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Maddison Inglis WTA Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 29/07 | Hayu Kinoshita WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 29/07 | Miho Kuramochi WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/07 | Anna Bondar WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Lucie Havlickova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Elizara Yaneva US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Valeriya Strakhova W50 Prague |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/08 | Victoria Bervid W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Alycia Parks WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Harmony Tan WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/07 | Nao Hibino W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Maria Garcia W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/06 | Maria Lourdes Carle Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova?
Our model gives 57% to Moyuka Uchijima, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.