Prediction: Vitaliy Sachko vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Team pages: Vitaliy Sachko · Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Prediction summary
Winner
Vitaliy Sachko
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Estimated games
23.2Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Vitaliy Sachko
4-6 (W-L)
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vitaliy Sachko 1481 · Pablo Llamas Ruiz 1490
| Vitaliy Sachko | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Vitaliy Sachko | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11.5 | 12.4-13.4 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 67% |
| Break % | 38.6% | 37.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.7
Over 21.5: 62% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 38% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vitaliy Sachko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Gauthier Onclin US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 12/08 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 10/08 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Jurij Rodionov ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Federico Coria ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Timofey Skatov ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Manas Manoj Dhamne ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Alexander Shevchenko Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Alex Bolt US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/08 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Marcos Giron ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 21/07 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Zachary Svajda Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Tristan Boyer Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-26 | L |
| 24/06 | Pol Martin Tiffon Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vitaliy Sachko vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz?
Our model gives 60% to Pablo Llamas Ruiz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.