Prediction: Luka Mikrut vs Nishesh Basavareddy
Team pages: Luka Mikrut · Nishesh Basavareddy
Prediction summary
Winner
Luka Mikrut
Nishesh Basavareddy
Estimated games
23.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Luka Mikrut
6-4 (W-L)
Nishesh Basavareddy
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luka Mikrut 1558 · Nishesh Basavareddy 1500
| Luka Mikrut | Nishesh Basavareddy | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luka Mikrut (rating 1558 vs 1500).
- Luka Mikrut dominates on serve: 9.2 aces and 40.4% break avg.
- Note: Nishesh Basavareddy makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Luka Mikrut | Nishesh Basavareddy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.3-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.6 | 12.6-13.1 |
| Aces | 9.2 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 40.4% | 52.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1
Over 22.5: 57% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 43% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luka Mikrut
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Stefano Travaglia Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/06 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/06 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 04/06 | Jan Choinski Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/05 | Nerman Fatic French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Justin Engel Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 02/03 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Kigali · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Nishesh Basavareddy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Moise Kouame US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 18/08 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Alex Michelsen French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 18-22 | L |
| 24/05 | Taylor Fritz French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 26-20 | W |
| 19/05 | Jaume Munar ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Kilian Feldbausch ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/05 | Daniel Elahi Galan ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/05 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/05 | Jay Clarke Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luka Mikrut vs Nishesh Basavareddy?
Our model gives 51% to Nishesh Basavareddy, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.