Prediction: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Mackenzie McDonald
Team pages: Thiago Seyboth Wild · Mackenzie McDonald
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Mackenzie McDonald
Estimated games
22.7Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Seyboth Wild
8-2 (W-L)
Mackenzie McDonald
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Seyboth Wild 1587 · Mackenzie McDonald 1476
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | Mackenzie McDonald | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Seyboth Wild (rating 1587 vs 1476).
- Thiago Seyboth Wild dominates on serve: 7.7 aces and 48.7% break avg.
- Thiago Seyboth Wild is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | Mackenzie McDonald | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-9.2 | 12-12.7 |
| Aces | 7.7 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 1 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 48.7% | 45.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7 · Bet365 line 23.5 · -0.8
Over 23.5: 45% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 55% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Raul Brancaccio US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Andrej Martin Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Marc-Andrea Huesler Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Philip Henning Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 20/07 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Matyas Fuele Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Peter Makk Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Mackenzie McDonald
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Stefano Napolitano US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Yibing Wu ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Alex Michelsen ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Trevor Svajda ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Edas Butvilas ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Adam Walton Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Patrick Kypson Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 15-21 | L |
| 25/06 | Christopher O'Connell Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Roberto Carballes Baena Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Mackenzie McDonald?
Our model gives 51% to Thiago Seyboth Wild, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.