Tennis · US Open Women · 26/08, 17:00
Prediction: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Himeno Sakatsume
Team pages: Tyra Caterina Grant · Himeno Sakatsume
Prediction summary
Winner
Tyra Caterina Grant
Himeno Sakatsume
Estimated games
22.5Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tyra Caterina Grant
7-3 (W-L)
Himeno Sakatsume
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tyra Caterina Grant 1551 · Himeno Sakatsume 1489
| Tyra Caterina Grant | Himeno Sakatsume | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tyra Caterina Grant (rating 1551 vs 1489).
- Tyra Caterina Grant is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Tyra Caterina Grant makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Tyra Caterina Grant | Himeno Sakatsume | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 80% (5) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-8.9 | 10.6-11.9 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 1 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 58.7% |
| Break % | 51.7% | 56.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1
Over 21.5: 57% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 43% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tyra Caterina Grant
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Savannah Broadus US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Martina Trevisan WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Marie Bouzkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Katie Boulter Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Harmony Tan Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Joanna Garland Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Taylah Preston Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/06 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Foggia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Darya Astakhova WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/06 | Tatiana Pieri WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Himeno Sakatsume
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Jazmin Ortenzi US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/08 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Ariana Arseneault WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Hong Yi Cody Wong WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 22/07 | Fiona Crawley W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Fiona Crawley Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Alicia Dudeney WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tyra Caterina Grant vs Himeno Sakatsume?
Our model gives 62% to Tyra Caterina Grant, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.