Tennis · US Open Women · 25/08, 17:00
Prediction: Despina Papamichail vs Ekaterine Gorgodze
Team pages: Despina Papamichail · Ekaterine Gorgodze
Prediction summary
Winner
Despina Papamichail
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Estimated games
21.9Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Despina Papamichail
4-6 (W-L)
Ekaterine Gorgodze
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Despina Papamichail
0–3
Ekaterine Gorgodze
(3 last)
- 07 Oct1-2 11-16L
- 30 Jul0-2 3-12L
- 14 Sept0-2 2-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Despina Papamichail 1458 · Ekaterine Gorgodze 1577
| Despina Papamichail | Ekaterine Gorgodze | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ekaterine Gorgodze (rating 1458 vs 1577).
- Ekaterine Gorgodze is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Despina Papamichail 0–3 Ekaterine Gorgodze (3).
Statistics
| Despina Papamichail | Ekaterine Gorgodze | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.2-11.3 | 11.8-10.2 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2 | 0.7 |
| 1st serve % | 52.7% | 60.3% |
| Break % | 61.4% | 45.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.4
Over 20.5: 60% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 40% · 1.83
H2H · Despina Papamichail 0 – 3 Ekaterine Gorgodze (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Despina Papamichail 0–3 Ekaterine Gorgodze
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/25 WTA Mallorca | 1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 30/07/21 ITF W60 Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/09/19 ITF W25 Frydek Mistek | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Despina Papamichail
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Laura Pigossi US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Matilde Paoletti W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 05/08 | Jana Otzipka W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Daria Yesypchuk W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Marie Weckerle W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Erika Andreeva WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Martina Capurro Taborda W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Claire Liu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Clara Burel W75 Blois · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Astrid Cirotte W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Ekaterine Gorgodze
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Katarzyna Kawa US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 09/08 | Hanne Vandewinkel W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Caroline Dolehide W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/08 | Ekaterina Ovcharenko W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Xiaodi You W100 Landisville |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 12/07 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 7-0 | W |
| 11/07 | Teodora Kostovic W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Julia Riera W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Despina Papamichail vs Ekaterine Gorgodze?
Our model gives 72% to Ekaterine Gorgodze, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.