Tennis · US Open Women · 25/08, 17:00
Prediction: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Carson Branstine
Team pages: Linda Fruhvirtova · Carson Branstine
Prediction summary
Winner
Linda Fruhvirtova
Carson Branstine
Estimated games
21.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Linda Fruhvirtova
4-6 (W-L)
Carson Branstine
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Linda Fruhvirtova 1451 · Carson Branstine 1525
| Linda Fruhvirtova | Carson Branstine | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carson Branstine (rating 1451 vs 1525).
- Carson Branstine is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Linda Fruhvirtova makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Linda Fruhvirtova | Carson Branstine | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-12.6 | 11.4-10.8 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.5% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 39.2% | 65.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -0.7
Over 22.5: 45% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 55% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Linda Fruhvirtova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Polina Kudermetova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/08 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Warsaw · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 27/07 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Xinyu Gao WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Elena Micic WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Xinyu Gao WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Emerson Jones Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 03/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Carson Branstine
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Clervie Ngounoue US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/01 | Astra Sharma Australian Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 04/01 | Vera Zvonareva WTA Canberra · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/11 | Julia Garcia Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/10 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Rende · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/09 | Bernarda Pera WTA Rende · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/09 | Darja Semenistaja WTA San Sebastian · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Julia Grabher WTA San Sebastian · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA San Sebastian · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Linda Fruhvirtova vs Carson Branstine?
Our model gives 52% to Carson Branstine, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.