Prediction: Otto Virtanen vs Jack Pinnington Jones
Team pages: Otto Virtanen · Jack Pinnington Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Otto Virtanen
Jack Pinnington Jones
Estimated games
24Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Otto Virtanen
5-5 (W-L)
Jack Pinnington Jones
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Otto Virtanen 1520 · Jack Pinnington Jones 1499
| Otto Virtanen | Jack Pinnington Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Otto Virtanen dominates on serve: 8.9 aces and 44.5% break avg.
- Note: Otto Virtanen makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Jack Pinnington Jones makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Otto Virtanen | Jack Pinnington Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10.4 | 12.2-13.6 |
| Aces | 8.9 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 77% | 70% |
| Break % | 44.5% | 40.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.5
Over 22.5: 60% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 40% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Otto Virtanen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Ugo Blanchet US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Moez Echargui Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Coleman Wong ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Vignesh Gogineni ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Timofey Skatov Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Filippo Romano Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 25/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Jack Pinnington Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Trevor Svajda US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 11/08 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Toby Samuel Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Brandon Nakashima Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-20 | L |
| 24/06 | Jack Draper ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 15/06 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Otto Virtanen vs Jack Pinnington Jones?
Our model gives 58% to Otto Virtanen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.