Prediction: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch
Team pages: Francesco Passaro · Tom Gentzsch
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesco Passaro
Tom Gentzsch
Estimated games
22.7Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Francesco Passaro
5-5 (W-L)
Tom Gentzsch
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesco Passaro 1479 · Tom Gentzsch 1617
| Francesco Passaro | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tom Gentzsch (rating 1479 vs 1617).
- Tom Gentzsch dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 44% break avg.
- Tom Gentzsch is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Francesco Passaro | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.8-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-12.2 | 13.8-10.5 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 7.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.5% | 75.2% |
| Break % | 37% | 44% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 51% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 49% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesco Passaro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Felix Gill US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/08 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 27/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 13/07 | Martin Krumich ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Maks Kasnikowski ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Tom Gentzsch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Pol Martin Tiffon US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Jerome Kym Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/08 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Henri Squire Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/08 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Max Dahlin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 22/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch?
Our model gives 61% to Tom Gentzsch, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.