Tennis · US Open · 26/08, 17:00

Prediction: Coleman Wong vs Lukas Neumayer

Team pages: Coleman Wong · Lukas Neumayer

Prediction summary
Winner
63% 37%
Coleman Wong Lukas Neumayer
Estimated games
21.9Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Coleman Wong 6-4 (W-L)
LWLWWWWWLL
Lukas Neumayer 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLLLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Coleman Wong 1556 · Lukas Neumayer 1530
Coleman WongLukas Neumayer
Our model54%46%
Market71%29%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Coleman Wong makes many double faults (4.5/match).

Statistics

Coleman WongLukas Neumayer
Win %70%50%
Win % · Hard 70% (10) 100% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.91-1.3
Games (G-P)12.1-11.111.3-11.5
Aces10.51.9
Double faults4.51.9
1st serve %75.9%65.4%
Break %31.1%39.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -0.6
Over 22.5: 46% · 1.90 Under 22.5: 54% · 1.80

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Coleman Wong

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/08 Elmer Moller
US Open · Hard
2-1 17-14 W
22/08 Sebastian Baez
Challenger Cancun · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
21/08 Alan Magadan
Challenger Cancun · Hard
2-1 14-16 W
19/08 Alexandre Muller
Challenger Cancun · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
14/08 Daniel Altmaier
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
13/08 Otto Virtanen
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 14-12 W
11/08 Seong Chan Hong
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
01/08 Arthur Gea
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
31/07 Jenson Brooksby
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
30/07 Jiri Lehecka
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
2-1 13-13 W

Lukas Neumayer

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/08 James McCabe
US Open · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
13/08 Daniel Michalski
Challenger Todi · Clay
2-1 17-11 W
11/08 Alexander Weis
Challenger Todi · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
28/07 Francesco Maestrelli
Challenger San Marino · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
20/07 Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
14/07 Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
ATP Umag · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
12/07 Marko Topo
ATP Umag · Clay
0-2 11-14 L
11/07 Mili Poljicak
ATP Umag · Clay
2-1 16-14 W
10/07 Henri Squire
Challenger Trieste · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
08/07 Guido Ivan Justo
Challenger Trieste · Clay
2-1 17-15 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Coleman Wong vs Lukas Neumayer?

Our model gives 63% to Coleman Wong, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.