Prediction: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato
Team pages: Vilius Gaubas · Marco Cecchinato
Prediction summary
Winner
Vilius Gaubas
Marco Cecchinato
Estimated games
22.5Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Vilius Gaubas
6-4 (W-L)
Marco Cecchinato
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Vilius Gaubas
2–0
Marco Cecchinato
(2 last)
- 02 Oct2-1 18-14W
- 08 Jul2-0 14-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vilius Gaubas 1519 · Marco Cecchinato 1547
| Vilius Gaubas | Marco Cecchinato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Vilius Gaubas 2–0 Marco Cecchinato (2).
Statistics
| Vilius Gaubas | Marco Cecchinato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.8 | 11.6-9.4 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 37.3% | 47.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1
Over 21.5: 57% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 43% · 1.90
H2H · Vilius Gaubas 2 – 0 Marco Cecchinato (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vilius Gaubas 2–0 Marco Cecchinato
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/25 Challenger Braga | 2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 08/07/24 Challenger Trieste | 2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vilius Gaubas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Kilian Feldbausch US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Max Houkes Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 01/08 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Jesper De Jong ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Nikoloz Basilashvili Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Marco Cecchinato
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Liam Broady US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/08 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/08 | Francesco Forti Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/08 | Nick Hardt Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Alexandre Muller Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 28/07 | Franco Agamenone Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Duje Ajdukovic ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato?
Our model gives 62% to Vilius Gaubas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.