Prediction: Kyrian Jacquet vs Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Team pages: Kyrian Jacquet · Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Prediction summary
Winner
Kyrian Jacquet
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Estimated games
23.2Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kyrian Jacquet
5-5 (W-L)
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kyrian Jacquet
0–1
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
(1 last)
- 21 May1-2 17-20L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kyrian Jacquet 1512 · Mohamed Aziz Dougaz 1586
| Kyrian Jacquet | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mohamed Aziz Dougaz (rating 1512 vs 1586).
- Mohamed Aziz Dougaz dominates on serve: 9 aces and 45.2% break avg.
- Mohamed Aziz Dougaz is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Kyrian Jacquet 0–1 Mohamed Aziz Dougaz (1).
- Note: Kyrian Jacquet makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Kyrian Jacquet | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.8-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11.8 | 14.6-10.4 |
| Aces | 4 | 9 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 79.2% |
| Break % | 32.6% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +0.7
Over 22.5: 55% · 2.00
Under 22.5: 45% · 1.72
H2H · Kyrian Jacquet 0 – 1 Mohamed Aziz Dougaz (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kyrian Jacquet 0–1 Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/24 French Open | 1-2 | 17-20 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kyrian Jacquet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Lautaro Midon US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/08 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/08 | Billy Harris ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 01/08 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Alexander Blockx ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/07 | Taro Daniel ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Federico Agustin Gomez US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/08 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 14/08 | Jie Cui Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 13/08 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Alec Deckers Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/08 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Mirza Basic Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Alan Bojarski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kyrian Jacquet vs Mohamed Aziz Dougaz?
Our model gives 58% to Kyrian Jacquet, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.