Prediction: Dalibor Svrcina vs Alexis Galarneau
Team pages: Dalibor Svrcina · Alexis Galarneau
Prediction summary
Winner
Dalibor Svrcina
Alexis Galarneau
Estimated games
23.8Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dalibor Svrcina
4-6 (W-L)
Alexis Galarneau
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Dalibor Svrcina
1–0
Alexis Galarneau
(1 last)
- 15 Aug2-0 12-2W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dalibor Svrcina 1468 · Alexis Galarneau 1530
| Dalibor Svrcina | Alexis Galarneau | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexis Galarneau (rating 1468 vs 1530).
- Alexis Galarneau is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Dalibor Svrcina 1–0 Alexis Galarneau (1).
- Note: Dalibor Svrcina makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Dalibor Svrcina | Alexis Galarneau | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-14 | 12.2-11 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 4 |
| Double faults | 6 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.9% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 51.3% | 52.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +2.3
Over 21.5: 66% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 34% · 1.83
H2H · Dalibor Svrcina 1 – 0 Alexis Galarneau (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalibor Svrcina 1–0 Alexis Galarneau
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/25 Challenger Cancun | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dalibor Svrcina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Stan Wawrinka Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Mark Lajal ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 01/08 | Titouan Droguet ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 31/07 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Adam Walton ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Grigor Dimitrov ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 08/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Learner Tien Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 15-24 | L |
Alexis Galarneau
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Keegan Smith US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/08 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Dino Prizmic Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Vit Kopriva ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 10/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Adrian Mannarino Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dalibor Svrcina vs Alexis Galarneau?
Our model gives 53% to Dalibor Svrcina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.