Tennis · US Open Women · 25/08, 17:00
Prediction: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme
Team pages: Robin Montgomery · Jeline Vandromme
Prediction summary
Winner
Robin Montgomery
Jeline Vandromme
Estimated games
22.8Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Robin Montgomery
7-3 (W-L)
Jeline Vandromme
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Robin Montgomery 1599 · Jeline Vandromme 1569
| Robin Montgomery | Jeline Vandromme | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Robin Montgomery dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 62.4% break avg.
Statistics
| Robin Montgomery | Jeline Vandromme | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 86% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-8.7 | 12.9-8.8 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 77.6% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 62.4% | 50.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.3
Over 21.5: 59% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 41% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Robin Montgomery
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Kayla Cross US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/08 | Lilli Tagger WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Julia Grabher WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Jasmine Paolini Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Marina Bassols Ribera Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Elvina Kalieva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Caroline Dolehide Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Daria Snigur WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Greet Minnen WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Jeline Vandromme
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Greet Minnen US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Julia Grabher WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Vivian Wolff WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/07 | Mayar Sherif WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 11/07 | Aurora Zantedeschi WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Francesca Curmi WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/07 | Diana Martynov WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Mariam Bolkvadze Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Maria Lourdes Carle Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme?
Our model gives 54% to Robin Montgomery, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.