Prediction: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Jurij Rodionov
Team pages: Frederico Ferreira Silva · Jurij Rodionov
Prediction summary
Winner
Frederico Ferreira Silva
Jurij Rodionov
Estimated games
22.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Frederico Ferreira Silva
6-4 (W-L)
Jurij Rodionov
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Frederico Ferreira Silva
1–1
Jurij Rodionov
(2 last)
- 05 Sept0-2 8-12L
- 12 Nov2-1 18-16W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Frederico Ferreira Silva 1488 · Jurij Rodionov 1554
| Frederico Ferreira Silva | Jurij Rodionov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jurij Rodionov (rating 1488 vs 1554).
- Jurij Rodionov dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 45.8% break avg.
Statistics
| Frederico Ferreira Silva | Jurij Rodionov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11.9 | 11.2-9.6 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 6.6 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.9% | 73.2% |
| Break % | 37.9% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 50% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 50% · 1.80
H2H · Frederico Ferreira Silva 1 – 1 Jurij Rodionov (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Frederico Ferreira Silva 1–1 Jurij Rodionov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/18 Challenger Zhangjiagang | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/11/15 ITF Egypt F33 | 2-1 | 18-16 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Frederico Ferreira Silva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Diego Dedura-Palomero US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 20/07 | Luca Van Assche ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 12/07 | Martin Krumich ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Matej Dodig Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
Jurij Rodionov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Kimmer Coppejans US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Jamie Mackenzie Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Niels McDonald Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/07 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Joel Schwaerzler ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Vitaliy Sachko ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/07 | Andrey Chepelev ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Clement Tabur ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Jurij Rodionov?
Our model gives 60% to Jurij Rodionov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.