Tennis · US Open Women · 26/08, 17:00
Prediction: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Mariam Bolkvadze
Team pages: Alevtina Ibragimova · Mariam Bolkvadze
Prediction summary
Winner
Alevtina Ibragimova
Mariam Bolkvadze
Estimated games
22.7Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alevtina Ibragimova
5-5 (W-L)
Mariam Bolkvadze
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alevtina Ibragimova 1552 · Mariam Bolkvadze 1496
| Alevtina Ibragimova | Mariam Bolkvadze | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alevtina Ibragimova (rating 1552 vs 1496).
- Note: Alevtina Ibragimova makes many double faults (4.1/match).
- Note: Mariam Bolkvadze makes many double faults (9.8/match).
Statistics
| Alevtina Ibragimova | Mariam Bolkvadze | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.6 | 10.6-12.2 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 9.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59.5% | 58.3% |
| Break % | 63.1% | 40.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.2
Over 21.5: 58% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 42% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alevtina Ibragimova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Rebecca Sramkova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Maia Ilinca Burcescu WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Clara Burel WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 23/07 | Alice Rame WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Dominika Salkova WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Mariam Bolkvadze
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Erika Andreeva US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Kallista Liu W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 20/07 | Kaitlyn Carnicella W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Ashlyn Krueger Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Jeline Vandromme Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Hayu Kinoshita Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Julia Grabher Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Francisca Jorge W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alevtina Ibragimova vs Mariam Bolkvadze?
Our model gives 54% to Alevtina Ibragimova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.