Prediction: Toby Samuel vs Billy Harris
Team pages: Toby Samuel · Billy Harris
Prediction summary
Winner
Toby Samuel
Billy Harris
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Toby Samuel
8-2 (W-L)
Billy Harris
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Toby Samuel
1–0
Billy Harris
(1 last)
- 15 Jul2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Toby Samuel 1596 · Billy Harris 1483
| Toby Samuel | Billy Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Toby Samuel (rating 1596 vs 1483).
- Head-to-head: Toby Samuel 1–0 Billy Harris (1).
- Note: Toby Samuel makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Toby Samuel | Billy Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 88% (8) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-10 | 12.2-12.4 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 6.7 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 73.2% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 24.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
H2H · Toby Samuel 1 – 0 Billy Harris (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Toby Samuel 1–0 Billy Harris
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/23 M25 Nottingham | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Toby Samuel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Francesco Maestrelli US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Liam Draxl Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/07 | Charles Broom Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/07 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/07 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/07 | Mikael Arseneault Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/06 | Jakub Mensik Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 25-27 | L |
| 26/06 | Zizou Bergs ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Billy Harris
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Gonzalo Bueno US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Abedallah Shelbayh ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Karen Khachanov Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 16-23 | L |
| 25/06 | Yi Zhou Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 24/06 | Zsombor Piros Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Stefano Napolitano Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 17/06 | Arthur Gea Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Toby Samuel vs Billy Harris?
Our model gives 72% to Toby Samuel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.