Tennis · US Open Women · 26/08, 17:00
Prediction: Elena Pridankina vs Rebecca Marino
Team pages: Elena Pridankina · Rebecca Marino
Prediction summary
Winner
Elena Pridankina
Rebecca Marino
Estimated games
20.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Elena Pridankina
7-3 (W-L)
Rebecca Marino
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elena Pridankina 1547 · Rebecca Marino 1527
| Elena Pridankina | Rebecca Marino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Rebecca Marino dominates on serve: 6 aces and 42.7% break avg.
- Note: Elena Pridankina makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Elena Pridankina | Rebecca Marino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-8.1 | 10.9-8.8 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 6 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 72.9% |
| Break % | 58.2% | 42.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -2.2
Over 22.5: 35% · 2.00
Under 22.5: 65% · 1.72
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elena Pridankina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Aliona Falei US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Panna Udvardy WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Victoria Brand WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Diana Martynov WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Miriam Bulgaru WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/07 | Georgina Garcia-Perez WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/07 | Eva Maria Ionescu WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Claire Liu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Suzan Lamens Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Rebecca Marino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Fiona Ferro US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Alina Charaeva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Kayla Cross W75 Granby |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Kylie Collins W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Mei Yamaguchi W75 Granby |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/07 | Julieta Pareja W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Luciana Perry W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Audrey Spencer W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Kira Matushkina W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elena Pridankina vs Rebecca Marino?
Our model gives 52% to Elena Pridankina, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.