Tennis · US Open Women · 26/08, 17:00
Prediction: Qinwen Zheng vs Clara Burel
Team pages: Qinwen Zheng · Clara Burel
Prediction summary
Winner
Qinwen Zheng
Clara Burel
Estimated games
22.9Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Qinwen Zheng
6-4 (W-L)
Clara Burel
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Qinwen Zheng 1493 · Clara Burel 1523
| Qinwen Zheng | Clara Burel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Qinwen Zheng makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Qinwen Zheng | Clara Burel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.3 | 12.8-9.9 |
| Aces | 9.6 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.2% | 65% |
| Break % | 37.8% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +2.4
Over 20.5: 66% · 1.90
Under 20.5: 34% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Qinwen Zheng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Xiaodi You US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/08 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Alexandra Eala WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 17/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Elena Micic WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Katerina Siniakova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Clara Tauson WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Solana Sierra WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Talia Gibson WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Clara Burel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Yexin Ma US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Anastasia Abbagnato WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 09/07 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Petra Marcinko WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Despina Papamichail W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 16/06 | Jana Otzipka W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Qinwen Zheng vs Clara Burel?
Our model gives 63% to Qinwen Zheng, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.