Tennis · US Open · 24/08, 23:00

Prediction: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajda

Team pages: Jack Pinnington Jones · Trevor Svajda

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Jack Pinnington Jones Trevor Svajda
Estimated games
23Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jack Pinnington Jones 1-9 (W-L)
LLLLLLLWLL
Trevor Svajda 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWLWLWW
Head-to-head
Jack Pinnington Jones 1–1 Trevor Svajda (2 last)
  • 14 Sept2-0 12-4W
  • 25 Feb0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jack Pinnington Jones 1488 · Trevor Svajda 1507
Jack Pinnington JonesTrevor Svajda
Our model47%53%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Trevor Svajda is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Jack Pinnington Jones makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Jack Pinnington JonesTrevor Svajda
Win %30%60%
Win % · Hard 40% (5) 50% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.71.5-0.9
Games (G-P)12.4-14.412.6-10.4
Aces4.72.4
Double faults4.12
1st serve %68.7%76.4%
Break %40.1%41%
Estimated total games (ours) 23 · Bet365 line 23.5 · -0.5
Over 23.5: 46% · 1.90 Under 23.5: 54% · 1.80

H2H · Jack Pinnington Jones 11 Trevor Svajda (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jack Pinnington Jones 11 Trevor Svajda

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DateSetsGamesRes.
14/09/25
Challenger Winston-Salem
2-012-4W
25/02/25
Challenger San Diego
0-29-13L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jack Pinnington Jones

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/08 Andre Ilagan
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
15/08 Andy Andrade
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
2-1 18-17 W
11/08 David Jorda Sanchis
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
05/08 Millen Hurrion
Challenger Lexington · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
29/07 Toby Samuel
Challenger Vancouver · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
30/06 Brandon Nakashima
Wimbledon · Grass
0-3 14-20 L
24/06 Jack Draper
ATP Eastbourne · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
22/06 Marco Trungelliti
ATP Eastbourne · Grass
2-1 18-15 W
15/06 Denis Shapovalov
ATP Queens · Grass
1-2 16-17 L
12/06 Filippo Romano
Challenger Ilkley · Grass
1-2 15-18 L

Trevor Svajda

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/08 Michael Zheng
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 14-16 L
11/08 Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 13-9 W
03/08 Andres Martin
Challenger Lexington · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
02/08 Eli Stephenson
Challenger Lexington · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
28/07 Jakub Mensik
ATP Washington · Hard
1-2 12-18 L
26/07 Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Washington · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
25/07 Elias Ymer
ATP Washington · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
15/07 Mark Lajal
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
1-2 16-18 L
12/07 Aidan Kim
M25 Dallas
2-0 12-5 W
11/07 Evan Zhu
M25 Dallas
2-0 12-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajda?

Our model gives 56% to Trevor Svajda, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.