Tennis · US Open Women · 25/08, 17:00
Prediction: Martyna Kubka vs Annika Penickova
Team pages: Martyna Kubka · Annika Penickova
Prediction summary
Winner
Martyna Kubka
Annika Penickova
Estimated games
21.3Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Martyna Kubka
6-4 (W-L)
Annika Penickova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martyna Kubka 1573 · Annika Penickova 1605
| Martyna Kubka | Annika Penickova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Martyna Kubka dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 48.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Martyna Kubka | Annika Penickova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-9.1 | 12.2-9.2 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 57.2% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 46.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 49% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 51% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martyna Kubka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Mona Barthel WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 19/07 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Kira Pavlova W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 17/07 | Han Shi W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Chloe Noel W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Jimena Gomez W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/07 | Valentina Ryser W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Anastasia Bertacchi W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Georgina Hays W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Annika Penickova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Dana Guzman W35 Southaven |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Jia-Jing Lu W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Mayu Crossley W35 Southaven |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Carlota Moreno W35 Southaven |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Piper Charney W35 Florence |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Angelina Voloshchuk W35 Florence |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 31/07 | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova W35 Florence |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Carmen Andreea Herea W35 Florence |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Ava Catanzarite W35 Florence |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martyna Kubka vs Annika Penickova?
Our model gives 58% to Martyna Kubka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.