Tennis · US Open Women · 25/08, 17:00
Prediction: Kristina Liutova vs Tatiana Prozorova
Team pages: Kristina Liutova · Tatiana Prozorova
Prediction summary
Winner
Kristina Liutova
Tatiana Prozorova
Estimated games
21Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kristina Liutova
6-4 (W-L)
Tatiana Prozorova
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kristina Liutova 1622 · Tatiana Prozorova 1513
| Kristina Liutova | Tatiana Prozorova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kristina Liutova (rating 1622 vs 1513).
- Kristina Liutova is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Kristina Liutova | Tatiana Prozorova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-8.7 | 10.4-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 59.6% | 42.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21 · Bet365 line 21.5 · -0.5
Over 21.5: 47% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 53% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kristina Liutova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Caty McNally WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Maya Joint WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 27/07 | Maria Kozyreva WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 04/07 | Lucrezia Stefanini W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Sofia Johnson W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Malaika Rapolu W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/06 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/06 | Whitney Osuigwe W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Tatiana Prozorova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Anastasia Zakharova W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Peyton Stearns WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Solana Sierra WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 27/07 | Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Daria Khomutsianskaya WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Zhuoxuan Bai WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Heather Watson Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Carole Monnet Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Mary Stoiana WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kristina Liutova vs Tatiana Prozorova?
Our model gives 63% to Kristina Liutova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.