Tennis · US Open Women · 25/08, 17:00
Prediction: Yue Yuan vs Hanyu Guo
Team pages: Yue Yuan
Prediction summary
Winner
Yue Yuan
Hanyu Guo
Estimated games
22.9Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yue Yuan
9-1 (W-L)
Hanyu Guo
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yue Yuan
0–3
Hanyu Guo
(3 last)
- 15 Oct0-2 7-12L
- 17 Sept0-2 6-12L
- 21 Feb0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yue Yuan 1462 · Hanyu Guo 1472
| Yue Yuan | Hanyu Guo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Hanyu Guo dominates on serve: 7 aces and 45.6% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Yue Yuan 0–3 Hanyu Guo (3).
Statistics
| Yue Yuan | Hanyu Guo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.6 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-14.1 | 11.2-11.6 |
| Aces | 7.4 | 7 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 59.9% |
| Break % | 33.2% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.4
Over 21.5: 60% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 40% · 1.83
H2H · Yue Yuan 0 – 3 Hanyu Guo (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yue Yuan 0–3 Hanyu Guo
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/19 ITF W100 Suzhou | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09/18 WTA Guangzhou | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/02/17 ITF Women Nanjing | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yue Yuan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Kayla Day WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 11/08 | Renata Zarazua WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Warsaw · Hard |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 03/08 | Alana Smith WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Aliona Falei WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Jeline Vandromme Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Robin Montgomery WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 18/05 | Harriet Dart French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Hanyu Guo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Kayla Day WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Xiyu Wang Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Maddison Inglis WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/06 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/05 | McCartney Kessler French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 21/05 | Sofia Costoulas French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Despina Papamichail French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/05 | Miriam Bulgaru French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 11/05 | Veronika Podrez WTA Paris · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 05/05 | Anastasia Gasanova WTA Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yue Yuan vs Hanyu Guo?
Our model gives 56% to Yue Yuan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.