Tennis · US Open Women · 25/08, 17:00
Prediction: Laura Samsonova vs Tamara Zidansek
Team pages: Laura Samsonova · Tamara Zidansek
Prediction summary
Winner
Laura Samsonova
Tamara Zidansek
Estimated games
23.2Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Laura Samsonova
3-7 (W-L)
Tamara Zidansek
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Laura Samsonova 1558 · Tamara Zidansek 1516
| Laura Samsonova | Tamara Zidansek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Laura Samsonova (rating 1558 vs 1516).
- Note: Laura Samsonova makes many double faults (8.1/match).
- Note: Tamara Zidansek makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Laura Samsonova | Tamara Zidansek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-12.3 | 12-12 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 8.1 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 56.4% |
| Break % | 42.6% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +0.7
Over 22.5: 55% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 45% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Laura Samsonova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Mona Barthel WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Mia Ristic WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Alesia Breaz WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Maya Joint WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Gina Feistel WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Laura Pigossi WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 23/06 | Katie Volynets Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Tamara Zidansek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 17/07 | Petra Marcinko WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Anna Bondar WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 14/07 | Emiliana Arango WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 10/07 | Teodora Kostovic W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Nastasja Schunk W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Zhuoxuan Bai Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Federica Urgesi WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Laura Samsonova vs Tamara Zidansek?
Our model gives 58% to Laura Samsonova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.