Tennis · US Open Women · 25/08, 17:00
Prediction: Suzan Lamens vs Emerson Jones
Team pages: Suzan Lamens · Emerson Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Suzan Lamens
Emerson Jones
Estimated games
24.6Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Suzan Lamens
7-3 (W-L)
Emerson Jones
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Suzan Lamens 1503 · Emerson Jones 1468
| Suzan Lamens | Emerson Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Suzan Lamens dominates on serve: 8.6 aces and 49.2% break avg.
- Note: Suzan Lamens makes many double faults (5.1/match).
- Note: Emerson Jones makes many double faults (7.5/match).
Statistics
| Suzan Lamens | Emerson Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (6) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-11.6 | 12.6-12.4 |
| Aces | 8.6 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 7.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70.5% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 53.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.6 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.1
Over 22.5: 64% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 36% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Suzan Lamens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Elena Pridankina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Amelia Rajecki Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Paula Badosa WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/06 | Dalma Galfi WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Anastasia Potapova WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 21/05 | Maja Chwalinska French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Irina-Camelia Begu French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 18/05 | Lina Gjorcheska French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/05 | Laura Hietaranta W75 Trnava |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
Emerson Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 03/08 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Madison Brengle WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Carol Zhao WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Ayana Akli W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Anastasia Gasanova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Linda Fruhvirtova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Dalma Galfi WTA Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Suzan Lamens vs Emerson Jones?
Our model gives 56% to Emerson Jones, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.