Tennis · US Open · 25/08, 17:00

Prediction: Michael Antonius vs Henry Searle

Team pages: Michael Antonius · Henry Searle

Prediction summary
Winner
35% 65%
Michael Antonius Henry Searle
Estimated games
22.4Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Michael Antonius 8-2 (W-L)
LWWWLWWWWW
Henry Searle 7-3 (W-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Michael Antonius 1573 · Henry Searle 1597
Michael AntoniusHenry Searle
Our model47%53%
Market25%75%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Henry Searle dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 47.6% break avg.

Statistics

Michael AntoniusHenry Searle
Win %70%70%
Win % · Grass 88% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.71.5-0.7
Games (G-P)11.1-7.712.6-9.8
Aces0.96.8
Double faults1.42.5
1st serve %67.3%80.3%
Break %48.3%47.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.4 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 49% · 1.90 Under 22.5: 51% · 1.80

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Michael Antonius

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/07 Tristan McCormick
M15 Rochester
2-1 15-9 W
18/07 Ilyas Milad Fahim
M15 Rochester
2-0 13-6 W
17/07 Alexander Bernard
M15 Rochester
2-0 12-2 W
17/07 Dillon Beckles
M15 Rochester
2-0 8-1 W
15/07 Jonah Braswell
M15 Rochester
2-0 12-6 W
01/05 Andreja Petrovic
M15 Orange Park · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
30/04 Kaylan Bigun
M15 Orange Park · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
29/04 Evan Bynoe
M15 Orange Park · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
21/04 Mitchell Krueger
Challenger Savannah · Clay
1-2 17-19 L
18/04 Justin Roberts
M15 Orlando · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Henry Searle

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Mees Rottgering
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
04/08 Lloyd Harris
Challenger Lexington · Hard
1-2 14-15 L
12/07 Clement Chidekh
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-0 12-8 W
11/07 Max Basing
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-0 13-7 W
10/07 Johannus Monday
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-0 13-9 W
09/07 Amit Vales
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-0 12-5 W
07/07 Patrick Zahraj
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-1 18-14 W
24/06 Vilius Gaubas
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 12-14 L
22/06 Zhizhen Zhang
Wimbledon · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
20/06 Jurij Rodionov
Challenger Dublin · Grass
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Michael Antonius vs Henry Searle?

Our model gives 65% to Henry Searle, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.