Tennis · US Open · 25/08, 17:00

Prediction: Gauthier Onclin vs Vitaliy Sachko

Team pages: Gauthier Onclin · Vitaliy Sachko

Prediction summary
Winner
64% 36%
Gauthier Onclin Vitaliy Sachko
Estimated games
23.1Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Gauthier Onclin 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLWLWWLL
Vitaliy Sachko 3-7 (W-L)
LLLWLWLWLL
Head-to-head
Gauthier Onclin 2–0 Vitaliy Sachko (2 last)
  • 25 Apr2-1 16-12W
  • 15 Nov2-0 13-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gauthier Onclin 1536 · Vitaliy Sachko 1478
Gauthier OnclinVitaliy Sachko
Our model58%42%
Market69%31%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gauthier Onclin (rating 1536 vs 1478).
  • Gauthier Onclin is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Gauthier Onclin 2–0 Vitaliy Sachko (2).

Statistics

Gauthier OnclinVitaliy Sachko
Win %70%40%
Win % · Clay 75% (4) 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.5-10.9-1.4
Games (G-P)13-11.211.7-11.6
Aces1.74.9
Double faults2.81.9
1st serve %70.2%66.9%
Break %43.5%44.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.1 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.6
Over 21.5: 61% · 1.72 Under 21.5: 39% · 2.00

H2H · Gauthier Onclin 20 Vitaliy Sachko (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gauthier Onclin 20 Vitaliy Sachko

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DateSetsGamesRes.
25/04/23
Challenger Ostrava
2-116-12W
15/11/19
ITF M15 Meshref
2-013-6W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gauthier Onclin

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/08 Vit Kopriva
Challenger Cancun · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
20/08 Timofey Skatov
Challenger Cancun · Hard
2-1 14-11 W
19/08 Alejandro Moro Canas
Challenger Cancun · Hard
2-1 17-15 W
17/08 Ryan Seggerman
Challenger Cancun · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
14/08 Andy Andrade
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
13/08 Tyler Zink
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
2-1 15-13 W
25/07 Diego Dedura-Palomero
Challenger Tampere · Clay
1-2 14-15 L
24/07 Tom Gentzsch
Challenger Tampere · Clay
2-1 18-12 W
22/07 Niels Visker
Challenger Tampere · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
20/07 Duje Ajdukovic
Challenger Tampere · Clay
2-0 13-7 W

Vitaliy Sachko

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Dylan Dietrich
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
0-2 12-14 L
10/08 Chun Hsin Tseng
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
2-1 17-12 W
04/08 Lorenzo Giustino
Challenger Hagen · Clay
1-2 16-16 L
19/07 Jurij Rodionov
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
18/07 Federico Coria
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
12/07 Timofey Skatov
ATP Gstaad · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
11/07 Manas Manoj Dhamne
ATP Gstaad · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
22/06 Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
13/06 Alexander Shevchenko
Challenger Bratislava · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
12/06 Petr Brunclik
Challenger Bratislava · Clay
2-1 15-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gauthier Onclin vs Vitaliy Sachko?

Our model gives 64% to Gauthier Onclin, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.