Prediction: Taro Daniel vs Andrew Johnson
Team pages: Taro Daniel
Prediction summary
Winner
Taro Daniel
Andrew Johnson
Estimated games
20.6Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Taro Daniel
8-2 (W-L)
Andrew Johnson
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taro Daniel 1595 · Andrew Johnson 1549
| Taro Daniel | Andrew Johnson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taro Daniel (rating 1595 vs 1549).
Statistics
| Taro Daniel | Andrew Johnson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-9.3 | 11.1-9.5 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.8% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 58.8% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +1.1
Over 19.5: 58% · 1.90
Under 19.5: 42% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taro Daniel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/08 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Jan Choinski Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Duncan Chan Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/08 | Maxime St-Hilaire Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Carlos Sanchez Jover ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
Andrew Johnson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Kaylan Bigun M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Spencer Johnson M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Benjamin O'Connell M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Lucca Liu M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Timofey Stepanov M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 30/04 | Andreja Petrovic M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Gavin Goode M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/04 | Nishesh Basavareddy Challenger Savannah · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 20/04 | Roberto Cid Subervi Challenger Savannah · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/04 | Garrett Johns Challenger Savannah · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taro Daniel vs Andrew Johnson?
Our model gives 74% to Taro Daniel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.