Prediction: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Christopher O'Connell
Team pages: Stefanos Sakellaridis · Christopher O'Connell
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Christopher O'Connell
Estimated games
22.8Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Stefanos Sakellaridis
6-4 (W-L)
Christopher O'Connell
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefanos Sakellaridis 1585 · Christopher O'Connell 1529
| Stefanos Sakellaridis | Christopher O'Connell | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stefanos Sakellaridis (rating 1585 vs 1529).
- Stefanos Sakellaridis dominates on serve: 9.9 aces and 40.7% break avg.
- Note: Stefanos Sakellaridis makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Stefanos Sakellaridis | Christopher O'Connell | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-12.5 | 12-11.8 |
| Aces | 9.9 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 78.6% |
| Break % | 40.7% | 33.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8 · Bet365 line 23.5 · -0.7
Over 23.5: 45% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 55% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Taro Daniel Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/08 | Zizou Bergs Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 20/08 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 18/08 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Karl Poling Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 13/08 | Titouan Droguet ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Martin Damm ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Oliver Tarvet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-19 | L |
Christopher O'Connell
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Taylor Fritz ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Dane Sweeny ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 03/08 | James Duckworth ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/07 | Andres Martin ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Mackenzie McDonald Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Bernard Tomic Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Joel Schwaerzler Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Christopher O'Connell?
Our model gives 52% to Christopher O'Connell, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.