Prediction: Maks Kasnikowski vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Team pages: Maks Kasnikowski · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Prediction summary
Winner
Maks Kasnikowski
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Estimated games
23.1Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Maks Kasnikowski
5-5 (W-L)
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maks Kasnikowski 1523 · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 1469
| Maks Kasnikowski | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maks Kasnikowski (rating 1523 vs 1469).
Statistics
| Maks Kasnikowski | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-11.8 | 11.1-12.1 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 31.9% | 30.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +0.6
Over 22.5: 54% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 46% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maks Kasnikowski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Philip Henning Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 25/07 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 22/07 | Eero Vasa Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Louis Wessels Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Francesco Passaro ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Hugo Gaston ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 01/08 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Andrea Pellegrino ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Otto Virtanen Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 24/06 | Matej Dodig Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maks Kasnikowski vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Our model gives 55% to Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.