Tennis · US Open · 25/08, 17:00

Prediction: Pedro Martinez vs Daniil Glinka

Team pages: Pedro Martinez · Daniil Glinka

Prediction summary
Winner
56% 44%
Pedro Martinez Daniil Glinka
Estimated games
21.4Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Pedro Martinez 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLLWWLWL
Daniil Glinka 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWWLWWL
Head-to-head
Pedro Martinez 1–0 Daniil Glinka (1 last)
  • 22 Aug2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pedro Martinez 1559 · Daniil Glinka 1557
Pedro MartinezDaniil Glinka
Our model50%50%
Market61%39%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Daniil Glinka dominates on serve: 11 aces and 48% break avg.
  • Head-to-head: Pedro Martinez 1–0 Daniil Glinka (1).

Statistics

Pedro MartinezDaniil Glinka
Win %70%70%
Win % · Hard 80% (5) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.71.6-0.9
Games (G-P)10.6-9.112.4-10.6
Aces0.211
Double faults0.83.3
1st serve %60.4%77.2%
Break %42%48%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4 · Bet365 line 23.5 · -2.1
Over 23.5: 36% · 1.83 Under 23.5: 64% · 1.83

H2H · Pedro Martinez 10 Daniil Glinka (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pedro Martinez 10 Daniil Glinka

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DateSetsGamesRes.
22/08/26
Challenger Kingston
2-013-8W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pedro Martinez

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/08 Valentin Royer
Challenger Kingston · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
22/08 Daniil Glinka
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
20/08 Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-1 18-14 W
19/08 Garrett Johns
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
18/08 Evan Zhu
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
28/07 Hugo Dellien
Challenger San Marino · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
23/07 Luciano Darderi
ATP Estoril · Clay
0-2 1-12 L
20/07 Henrique Rocha
ATP Estoril · Clay
2-0 14-10 W
19/07 Timofey Skatov
ATP Estoril · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
18/07 David Jorda Sanchis
ATP Estoril · Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Daniil Glinka

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/08 Pedro Martinez
Challenger Kingston · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
20/08 Harold Mayot
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
19/08 Elias Ymer
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
18/08 Florent Bax
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-1 14-9 W
08/08 Andrea Guerrieri
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
1-2 13-12 L
07/08 Alexander Donski
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
05/08 Amit Vales
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
2-1 14-15 W
03/08 Fares Zakaria
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
2-1 15-11 W
16/07 Philip Sekulic
Challenger Granby · Hard
1-2 10-13 L
14/07 Garrett Johns
Challenger Granby · Hard
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pedro Martinez vs Daniil Glinka?

Our model gives 56% to Pedro Martinez, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.