Tennis · US Open · 25/08, 17:00

Prediction: Zsombor Piros vs Max Alcala Gurri

Team pages: Zsombor Piros · Max Alcala Gurri

Prediction summary
Winner
67% 33%
Zsombor Piros Max Alcala Gurri
Estimated games
20.7Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Zsombor Piros 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWLWWWL
Max Alcala Gurri 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWWLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zsombor Piros 1617 · Max Alcala Gurri 1538
Zsombor PirosMax Alcala Gurri
Our model61%39%
Market72%28%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zsombor Piros (rating 1617 vs 1538).

Statistics

Zsombor PirosMax Alcala Gurri
Win %80%60%
Win % · Clay 80% (10) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.51.3-1
Games (G-P)11.9-811.9-9.1
Aces3.31.6
Double faults1.52.1
1st serve %64.2%70.1%
Break %47.4%50.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7 · Bet365 line 21.5 · -0.8
Over 21.5: 45% · 1.83 Under 21.5: 55% · 1.83

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zsombor Piros

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/08 Tom Gentzsch
Challenger Hagen · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
07/08 Guy Den Ouden
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
05/08 Diego Dedura-Palomero
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
04/08 Daniel Rincon
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
22/07 Max Hans Rehberg
Challenger Zug · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
12/07 Titouan Droguet
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
11/07 Jerome Kym
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
10/07 Lautaro Midon
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
08/07 Damir Dzumhur
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-1 16-13 W
07/07 Gabriel Ghetu
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Max Alcala Gurri

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/08 Eduardo Ribeiro
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
23/07 Dylan Dietrich
Challenger Zug · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
21/07 Martin Krumich
Challenger Zug · Clay
2-1 18-12 W
19/07 Federico Bondioli
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
18/07 Gonzalo Villanueva
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
2-1 17-13 W
17/07 Franco Roncadelli
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
16/07 Lorenzo Angelini
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
14/07 Giorgio Tabacco
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
07/07 Andrea Pellegrino
Challenger Trieste · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
29/06 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Challenger Brasov · Clay
1-2 15-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zsombor Piros vs Max Alcala Gurri?

Our model gives 67% to Zsombor Piros, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.