Prediction: Moez Echargui vs Hugo Dellien
Team pages: Moez Echargui · Hugo Dellien
Prediction summary
Winner
Moez Echargui
Hugo Dellien
Estimated games
23Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Moez Echargui
5-5 (W-L)
Hugo Dellien
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Moez Echargui 1457 · Hugo Dellien 1528
| Moez Echargui | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hugo Dellien (rating 1457 vs 1528).
- Hugo Dellien is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Moez Echargui | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-14.1 | 12.2-10.9 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 3 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 34.8% | 35.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23 · Bet365 line 23.5 · -0.5
Over 23.5: 46% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 54% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moez Echargui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Hubert Hurkacz Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Moise Kouame Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 19/08 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 12/08 | Michael Zheng ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Andres Martin ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Jordan Lee ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/07 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Hugo Gaston Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 14-23 | L |
Hugo Dellien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Pedro Martinez Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Laslo Djere ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Michele Ribecai ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Matyas Fuele Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Ioannis Xilas Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Matej Dodig Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 11/07 | Henry Bernet Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moez Echargui vs Hugo Dellien?
Our model gives 51% to Moez Echargui, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.