Prediction: Bu Yunchaokete vs Rio Noguchi
Team pages: Bu Yunchaokete · Rio Noguchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Bu Yunchaokete
Rio Noguchi
Estimated games
23Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Bu Yunchaokete
5-5 (W-L)
Rio Noguchi
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Bu Yunchaokete
0–1
Rio Noguchi
(1 last)
- 09 Apr0-2 10-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bu Yunchaokete 1503 · Rio Noguchi 1504
| Bu Yunchaokete | Rio Noguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Bu Yunchaokete 0–1 Rio Noguchi (1).
Statistics
| Bu Yunchaokete | Rio Noguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-12.8 | 11.9-11.7 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 2 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 63% |
| Break % | 51.2% | 54% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +2.5
Over 20.5: 67% · 1.90
Under 20.5: 33% · 1.80
H2H · Bu Yunchaokete 0 – 1 Rio Noguchi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bu Yunchaokete 0–1 Rio Noguchi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/24 Challenger Busan | 0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bu Yunchaokete
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Quentin Halys ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Francesco Maestrelli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/07 | Colton Smith Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 17/07 | Yibing Wu Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Evan Zhu Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 09/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Clement Tabur Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Rio Noguchi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Alan Magadan Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 24/07 | Charles Broom Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 21/07 | Braden Shick Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 18/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Charles Broom Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Alex Martinez Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bu Yunchaokete vs Rio Noguchi?
Our model gives 68% to Bu Yunchaokete, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.