Prediction: Lorenzo Giustino vs Grigor Dimitrov
Team pages: Lorenzo Giustino · Grigor Dimitrov
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Giustino
Grigor Dimitrov
Estimated games
26.2Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Giustino
6-4 (W-L)
Grigor Dimitrov
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Giustino 1561 · Grigor Dimitrov 1527
| Lorenzo Giustino | Grigor Dimitrov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Grigor Dimitrov makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Giustino | Grigor Dimitrov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-12.7 | 16.1-15 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 9.4 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 73% | 73.9% |
| Break % | 50.6% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.2 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +6.7
Over 19.5: 88% · 1.90
Under 19.5: 12% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Giustino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 19/08 | Henry Bernet Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 18/08 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Jerome Kym Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 04/08 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 28/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 19/07 | Federico Cina ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Nico Hipfl ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
Grigor Dimitrov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Sebastian Baez ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Nuno Borges ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 06/07 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 27-27 | L |
| 04/07 | Matteo Berrettini Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 26-23 | W |
| 02/07 | Jakub Mensik Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 24-20 | W |
| 30/06 | Dane Sweeny Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 20-14 | W |
| 25/06 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Abedallah Shelbayh ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Marc Polmans ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Giustino vs Grigor Dimitrov?
Our model gives 69% to Grigor Dimitrov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.