Prediction: Remy Bertola vs Alejandro Moro Canas
Team pages: Remy Bertola · Alejandro Moro Canas
Prediction summary
Winner
Remy Bertola
Alejandro Moro Canas
Estimated games
24.6Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Remy Bertola
3-7 (W-L)
Alejandro Moro Canas
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Remy Bertola
1–0
Alejandro Moro Canas
(1 last)
- 15 Apr2-1 17-18W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Remy Bertola 1487 · Alejandro Moro Canas 1523
| Remy Bertola | Alejandro Moro Canas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Remy Bertola 1–0 Alejandro Moro Canas (1).
- Note: Remy Bertola makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Remy Bertola | Alejandro Moro Canas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-13.2 | 12.8-12.9 |
| Aces | 7.7 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 32.8% | 27.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.6 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.1
Over 22.5: 64% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 36% · 1.83
H2H · Remy Bertola 1 – 0 Alejandro Moro Canas (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Remy Bertola 1–0 Alejandro Moro Canas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/25 Challenger Oeiras | 2-1 | 17-18 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Remy Bertola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Andre Ilagan ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 21/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Adrian Mannarino Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Max Basing Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 23-24 | L |
| 24/06 | Jurij Rodionov Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 22/06 | Liam Draxl Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Yibing Wu Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Luca Nardi Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
Alejandro Moro Canas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Alexander Donski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 25/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
| 24/06 | Harold Mayot Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/06 | Francisco Comesana Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Remy Bertola vs Alejandro Moro Canas?
Our model gives 58% to Alejandro Moro Canas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.