Prediction: Otto Virtanen vs Ugo Blanchet
Team pages: Otto Virtanen · Ugo Blanchet
Prediction summary
Winner
Otto Virtanen
Ugo Blanchet
Estimated games
24.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Otto Virtanen
4-6 (W-L)
Ugo Blanchet
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Otto Virtanen
2–0
Ugo Blanchet
(2 last)
- 06 Mar2-0 14-11W
- 10 Nov2-1 18-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Otto Virtanen 1528 · Ugo Blanchet 1475
| Otto Virtanen | Ugo Blanchet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Otto Virtanen (rating 1528 vs 1475).
- Head-to-head: Otto Virtanen 2–0 Ugo Blanchet (2).
Statistics
| Otto Virtanen | Ugo Blanchet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10.9 | 13.9-14.7 |
| Aces | 8.3 | 14.1 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 76.7% | 72.2% |
| Break % | 39.5% | 36.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.8 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.3
Over 22.5: 66% · 2.00
Under 22.5: 34% · 1.72
H2H · Otto Virtanen 2 – 0 Ugo Blanchet (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Otto Virtanen 2–0 Ugo Blanchet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/26 Challenger Thionville | 2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 10/11/22 Challenger Roanne | 2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Otto Virtanen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Moez Echargui Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Coleman Wong ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Vignesh Gogineni ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Timofey Skatov Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Filippo Romano Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 25/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/07 | Dylan Dietrich ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Ugo Blanchet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 18/08 | James Watt Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 17/08 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 12/08 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 08/06 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Felix Gill Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 20/05 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Charles Broom French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 12/05 | Pierre Delage Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/05 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Otto Virtanen vs Ugo Blanchet?
Our model gives 64% to Otto Virtanen, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.