Tennis · US Open Women · 24/08, 21:30
Prediction: Dominika Salkova vs Akasha Urhobo
Team pages: Dominika Salkova · Akasha Urhobo
Prediction summary
Winner
Dominika Salkova
Akasha Urhobo
Estimated games
21.2Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dominika Salkova
6-4 (W-L)
Akasha Urhobo
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dominika Salkova 1536 · Akasha Urhobo 1443
| Dominika Salkova | Akasha Urhobo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dominika Salkova (rating 1536 vs 1443).
- Dominika Salkova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Akasha Urhobo makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Dominika Salkova | Akasha Urhobo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-8.8 | 10-11.6 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 44.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 48% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 52% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dominika Salkova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Anna Blinkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Laura Pigossi W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Arantxa Rus W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Anna-Lena Friedsam W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Lea Boskovic W100 Gran Canaria |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 24/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Oceane Dodin WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/07 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/07 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/07 | Denisa Zoldakova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Akasha Urhobo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Mai Hontama Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Celine Naef WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 02/06 | Lea Boskovic WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Katie Boulter French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 03/05 | Angela Fita Boluda W100 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/05 | Madison Brengle W100 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dominika Salkova vs Akasha Urhobo?
Our model gives 64% to Dominika Salkova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.