Tennis · US Open Women · 24/08, 20:00
Prediction: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Akli
Team pages: Mia Ristic · Ayana Akli
Prediction summary
Winner
Mia Ristic
Ayana Akli
Estimated games
20.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mia Ristic
6-4 (W-L)
Ayana Akli
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mia Ristic 1622 · Ayana Akli 1563
| Mia Ristic | Ayana Akli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mia Ristic (rating 1622 vs 1563).
Statistics
| Mia Ristic | Ayana Akli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 88% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.5 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-9.1 | 10.9-8.3 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 61.1% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 52.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -1.7
Over 22.5: 38% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 62% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mia Ristic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Rositsa Dencheva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/08 | Matilde Paoletti W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 14/08 | Lisa Zaar W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 13/08 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Havah Kaur Kaler W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/07 | Laura Samsonova WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 30/07 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Nuria Brancaccio W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Viola Turini W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Ayana Akli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Anastasia Zakharova W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Carolyn Ansari W100 Landisville |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Priscilla Hon W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/08 | Anastasia Kulikova W75 Lexington |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Fiona Crawley W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Hanna Chang W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/07 | Janae Preston W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Dasha Ivanova W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Lucrezia Stefanini W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Emerson Jones W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mia Ristic vs Ayana Akli?
Our model gives 52% to Mia Ristic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.