Tennis · US Open Women · 24/08, 17:00
Prediction: Elena Pridankina vs Aliona Falei
Team pages: Elena Pridankina · Aliona Falei
Prediction summary
Winner
Elena Pridankina
Aliona Falei
Estimated games
21Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Elena Pridankina
7-3 (W-L)
Aliona Falei
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elena Pridankina 1547 · Aliona Falei 1526
| Elena Pridankina | Aliona Falei | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Elena Pridankina | Aliona Falei | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-7.9 | 12.1-9.8 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 59.6% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -1.5
Over 22.5: 39% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 61% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elena Pridankina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Panna Udvardy WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Victoria Brand WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Diana Martynov WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Miriam Bulgaru WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/07 | Georgina Garcia-Perez WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/07 | Eva Maria Ionescu WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Claire Liu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Suzan Lamens Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Alice Tubello Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Aliona Falei
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Warsaw · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 03/08 | Urszula Radwanska WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Vendula Valdmannova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Kristina Penickova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Yue Yuan WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Anna Kubareva W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Alba Rey Garcia W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Savannah Broadus W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Manon Leonard W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Francisca Jorge W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elena Pridankina vs Aliona Falei?
Our model gives 51% to Elena Pridankina, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.