Tennis · US Open Women · 24/08, 17:00
Prediction: Rebeka Masarova vs Iryna Shymanovich
Team pages: Rebeka Masarova · Iryna Shymanovich
Prediction summary
Winner
Rebeka Masarova
Iryna Shymanovich
Estimated games
23.3Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Rebeka Masarova
5-5 (W-L)
Iryna Shymanovich
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rebeka Masarova 1500 · Iryna Shymanovich 1542
| Rebeka Masarova | Iryna Shymanovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Iryna Shymanovich (rating 1500 vs 1542).
- Note: Rebeka Masarova makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Rebeka Masarova | Iryna Shymanovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 57% (7) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11.8 | 11.4-10.5 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 73.3% | 64.3% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 60.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +2.8
Over 20.5: 69% · 1.80
Under 20.5: 31% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rebeka Masarova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Carole Monnet WTA Athens · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Francesca Curmi WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Julia Grabher WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 23/06 | Jil Teichmann Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Mia Pohankova WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 06/06 | Alexandra Eala WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 05/06 | Mary Stoiana WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 04/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Iryna Shymanovich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Polina Iatcenko W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Katie Volynets WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Reese Brantmeier WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/07 | Ankita Raina WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/07 | Mary Stoiana WTA Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Hayu Kinoshita WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Viktorija Golubic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Katherine Sebov Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Greet Minnen Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Dominika Salkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rebeka Masarova vs Iryna Shymanovich?
Our model gives 56% to Rebeka Masarova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.