Tennis · US Open Women · 24/08, 23:00
Prediction: Laura Pigossi vs Despina Papamichail
Team pages: Laura Pigossi · Despina Papamichail
Prediction summary
Winner
Laura Pigossi
Despina Papamichail
Estimated games
20.9Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Laura Pigossi
8-2 (W-L)
Despina Papamichail
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Laura Pigossi
1–0
Despina Papamichail
(1 last)
- 11 Aug2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Laura Pigossi 1590 · Despina Papamichail 1449
| Laura Pigossi | Despina Papamichail | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Laura Pigossi (rating 1590 vs 1449).
- Laura Pigossi is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Laura Pigossi 1–0 Despina Papamichail (1).
Statistics
| Laura Pigossi | Despina Papamichail | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-7 | 8-12 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 50.7% |
| Break % | 64.4% | 59.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9 · Bet365 line 20.5
Over 20.5: 53% · 1.90
Under 20.5: 47% · 1.80
H2H · Laura Pigossi 1 – 0 Despina Papamichail (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Laura Pigossi 1–0 Despina Papamichail
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/23 ITF W80 Brasilia | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Laura Pigossi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Berfu Cengiz W100 Gran Canaria |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 01/08 | Dominika Salkova W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Caroline Werner W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Polona Hercog W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/07 | Julia Riera W75 Vacaria |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Fernanda Labrana W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/07 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Camila Rodero W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/07 | Laura Samsonova WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Despina Papamichail
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Matilde Paoletti W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 05/08 | Jana Otzipka W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Daria Yesypchuk W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Marie Weckerle W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Erika Andreeva WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Martina Capurro Taborda W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Claire Liu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 17/06 | Clara Burel W75 Blois · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Astrid Cirotte W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Laura Pigossi vs Despina Papamichail?
Our model gives 74% to Laura Pigossi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.