Tennis · US Open Women · 24/08, 17:00
Prediction: Rebecca Sramkova vs Alevtina Ibragimova
Team pages: Rebecca Sramkova · Alevtina Ibragimova
Prediction summary
Winner
Rebecca Sramkova
Alevtina Ibragimova
Estimated games
22.3Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Rebecca Sramkova
7-3 (W-L)
Alevtina Ibragimova
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Rebecca Sramkova
0–1
Alevtina Ibragimova
(1 last)
- 31 Oct0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rebecca Sramkova 1537 · Alevtina Ibragimova 1549
| Rebecca Sramkova | Alevtina Ibragimova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Rebecca Sramkova dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 60.4% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Rebecca Sramkova 0–1 Alevtina Ibragimova (1).
Statistics
| Rebecca Sramkova | Alevtina Ibragimova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10.2 | 12.4-10.2 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 58.6% |
| Break % | 60.4% | 62.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +2.8
Over 19.5: 69% · 1.83
Under 19.5: 31% · 1.83
H2H · Rebecca Sramkova 0 – 1 Alevtina Ibragimova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rebecca Sramkova 0–1 Alevtina Ibragimova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/23 ITF W60 Bratislava | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rebecca Sramkova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Diana Shnaider WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 03/08 | Anna Blinkova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Janice Tjen WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Carolyn Ansari WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Teodora Kostovic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Viktoria Hruncakova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Alevtina Ibragimova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Maia Ilinca Burcescu WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Clara Burel WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 23/07 | Alice Rame WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Dominika Salkova WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/07 | Maria Kozyreva WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rebecca Sramkova vs Alevtina Ibragimova?
Our model gives 65% to Rebecca Sramkova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.