Tennis · US Open Women · 24/08, 17:00
Prediction: Erika Andreeva vs Mariam Bolkvadze
Team pages: Erika Andreeva · Mariam Bolkvadze
Prediction summary
Winner
Erika Andreeva
Mariam Bolkvadze
Estimated games
22.5Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Erika Andreeva
4-6 (W-L)
Mariam Bolkvadze
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Erika Andreeva 1471 · Mariam Bolkvadze 1502
| Erika Andreeva | Mariam Bolkvadze | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mariam Bolkvadze makes many double faults (10/match).
Statistics
| Erika Andreeva | Mariam Bolkvadze | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (2) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10.1 | 10-12.5 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 10 |
| 1st serve % | 60.1% | 56.3% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 39.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1
Over 21.5: 57% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 43% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Erika Andreeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Mai Hontama W100 Landisville |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 22/07 | Fiona Ferro WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Lina Gjorcheska WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/07 | Sinja Kraus WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Mia Ristic WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/07 | Despina Papamichail WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/07 | Anna Blinkova WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Kayla Day Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Yexin Ma Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Lea Boskovic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Mariam Bolkvadze
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Kallista Liu W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 20/07 | Kaitlyn Carnicella W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Ashlyn Krueger Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Jeline Vandromme Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Hayu Kinoshita Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Julia Grabher Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Francisca Jorge W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Nao Hibino WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Erika Andreeva vs Mariam Bolkvadze?
Our model gives 57% to Erika Andreeva, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.