Tennis · US Open Women · 24/08, 17:00
Prediction: Clara Burel vs Yexin Ma
Team pages: Clara Burel · Yexin Ma
Prediction summary
Winner
Clara Burel
Yexin Ma
Estimated games
22.3Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Clara Burel
4-6 (W-L)
Yexin Ma
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Clara Burel 1520 · Yexin Ma 1490
| Clara Burel | Yexin Ma | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Clara Burel | Yexin Ma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-10.3 | 9.9-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 58% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 51.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.8
Over 20.5: 62% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 38% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Clara Burel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Anastasia Abbagnato WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 09/07 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Petra Marcinko WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Despina Papamichail W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 16/06 | Jana Otzipka W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 14/06 | Jenny Lim W35 Nice |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Yexin Ma
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Katrina Scott W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Clervie Ngounoue W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Caty McNally WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/07 | Aoi Ito WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 22/07 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Dana Guzman W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Rachel Gailis W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Theadora Rabman W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Francoise Abanda W50 Columbus |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Clara Burel vs Yexin Ma?
Our model gives 63% to Clara Burel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.