Prediction: Braden Shick vs Clement Tabur
Team pages: Braden Shick · Clement Tabur
Prediction summary
Winner
Braden Shick
Clement Tabur
Estimated games
24.5Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Braden Shick
5-5 (W-L)
Clement Tabur
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Braden Shick 1575 · Clement Tabur 1506
| Braden Shick | Clement Tabur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Braden Shick (rating 1575 vs 1506).
- Clement Tabur dominates on serve: 6 aces and 41.8% break avg.
Statistics
| Braden Shick | Clement Tabur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.5-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.7 | 14.6-15.1 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 6 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.5 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +1
Over 23.5: 57% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 43% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Braden Shick
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Andy Andrade Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | August Holmgren Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 28/07 | Benjamin Thomas George Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Timo Legout Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 04/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Fajing Sun Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/06 | Duncan Chan M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Clement Tabur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Orlando Luz ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Edas Butvilas ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 15/07 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 13/07 | Jurij Rodionov ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 12/07 | Marc-Andrea Huesler ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/07 | Hendrik Jebens ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 25/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 21-22 | L |
| 24/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Braden Shick vs Clement Tabur?
Our model gives 51% to Braden Shick, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.