Tennis · US Open · 25/08, 17:00

Prediction: Jerome Kym vs Dan Added

Team pages: Jerome Kym · Dan Added

Prediction summary
Winner
71% 29%
Jerome Kym Dan Added
Estimated games
22.8Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jerome Kym 5-5 (W-L)
LWLLLWWWWL
Dan Added 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWLWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jerome Kym 1571 · Dan Added 1496
Jerome KymDan Added
Our model61%39%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jerome Kym (rating 1571 vs 1496).

Statistics

Jerome KymDan Added
Win %60%50%
Win % · Clay 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.4-11.2-1.1
Games (G-P)12.7-12.510.5-11.5
Aces8.35.8
Double faults3.12.9
1st serve %79.7%71.7%
Break %30.6%26%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.8 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +2.3
Over 20.5: 65% · 1.83 Under 20.5: 35% · 1.83

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jerome Kym

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/08 Tom Gentzsch
Challenger Hagen · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
08/08 Elmer Moller
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
07/08 Lorenzo Giustino
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
06/08 Max Houkes
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
04/08 Niels McDonald
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
22/07 Philip Henning
Challenger Zug · Clay
1-2 11-17 L
20/07 Jay Clarke
Challenger Zug · Clay
2-1 13-14 W
16/07 Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Gstaad · Clay
1-2 17-19 L
14/07 Dylan Dietrich
ATP Gstaad · Clay
2-1 16-18 W
11/07 Zsombor Piros
Challenger Iasi · Clay
0-2 9-13 L

Dan Added

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/08 Philip Henning
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
0-2 7-12 L
15/08 Goncalo Marques
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-0 13-9 W
14/08 Pablo Perez Navarro
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-0 13-9 W
13/08 Stefan Vujic
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-0 13-8 W
11/08 Joao Dinis Silva
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-0 12-7 W
04/08 Lucas Poullain
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
30/07 Kenta Miyoshi
Challenger Samsun · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
28/07 Lucas Poullain
Challenger Samsun · Hard
2-1 15-13 W
21/07 Florent Bax
Challenger Segovia · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
17/07 Ilya Ivashka
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
1-2 11-18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jerome Kym vs Dan Added?

Our model gives 71% to Jerome Kym, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.