Prediction: Andre Ilagan vs Tristan Boyer
Team pages: Andre Ilagan · Tristan Boyer
Prediction summary
Winner
Andre Ilagan
Tristan Boyer
Estimated games
23.4Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Andre Ilagan
5-5 (W-L)
Tristan Boyer
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andre Ilagan 1572 · Tristan Boyer 1488
| Andre Ilagan | Tristan Boyer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andre Ilagan (rating 1572 vs 1488).
Statistics
| Andre Ilagan | Tristan Boyer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-11.1 | 12.2-12.2 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 6.5 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 75% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 38.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4 · Bet365 line 23.5
Over 23.5: 49% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 51% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andre Ilagan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Andres Martin Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 09/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 08/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/08 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 03/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Marcos Giron ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Tristan Boyer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | James Watt Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Lorenzo Claverie ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Nuno Borges Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-20 | L |
| 25/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 26-21 | W |
| 24/06 | Andrea Pellegrino Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andre Ilagan vs Tristan Boyer?
Our model gives 52% to Andre Ilagan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.