Prediction: Luka Mikrut vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Team pages: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Prediction summary
Winner
Luka Mikrut
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Estimated games
23.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Luka Mikrut
6-4 (W-L)
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luka Mikrut 1550 · Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 1479
| Luka Mikrut | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luka Mikrut (rating 1550 vs 1479).
Statistics
| Luka Mikrut | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.5 | 11.9-12.3 |
| Aces | 9 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 42.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +0.8
Over 22.5: 56% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 44% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luka Mikrut
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Stefano Travaglia Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/06 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/06 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 04/06 | Jan Choinski Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/05 | Nerman Fatic French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Justin Engel Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 02/03 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Kigali · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/02 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Tenerife · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 11/08 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Eero Vasa Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 12/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Norbert Gombos ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Alex Barrena Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 22/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luka Mikrut vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo?
Our model gives 59% to Luka Mikrut, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.